![]() The obvious answer is that even earning a small chance at landing an elite prospect like Bedard, Adam Fantilli, or Leo Carlsson is worth losing. The Value of Draft Position in the 2023 Draft ![]() They’ve got a real head start in the Connor Bedard sweepstakes and the league’s bottom five will be a tough group to crack, but I believe Detroit has a real chance at landing a pick in the 7-10 range which would be a massive improvement from the 11-15 range they find themselves in right now. The sooner you commit to the tank the better, as we’ve seen with teams like the Arizona Coyotes and Chicago Blackhawks. With that reality in mind, I believe Detroit’s goal from here on out should be to maximize the value of their 2023 first round pick by making a few strategic moves to enhance their draft lottery odds (although we all know Detroit doesn’t win draft lotteries). ![]() Detroit has one of the five toughest schedules remaining in the NHL (second toughest at the time of writing), with two games each against the Boston Bruins, Tampa Bay Lightning, and Carolina Hurricanes ( via. “Strength of Schedule” (SOS) is a metric that finds the average points percentage of every team left on a team’s schedule, so a high SOS means you’ve got a rough stretch ahead and that you can be expected to lose a lot of games. Related: Red Wings Were Right to Avoid Bo Horvat The Red Wings have a ton of remaining games against Atlantic and Metro division teams, giving them one of the least enviable second-half schedules in the entire league. I’m generally an optimist but I didn’t expect the Red Wings to make the playoffs this year so I’m not particularly worried that they’re on the outside looking in just after the All-star break. The Metropolitan Division has also been remarkably competitive this year, meaning that Detroit was always going to be in tough to make the playoffs this year. The Atlantic Division is incredibly tough and deep this year, even with the Florida Panthers underperforming expectations by a wide margin. I’m not saying they should go full-on tank mode like the Chicago Blackhawks did last year, but a deliberate tank for the rest of this season with an eye on making the playoffs in the 2023-24 season is what I believe is best for the long-term outlook of the team. I believe that the Red Wings will be best served long term by accepting the fact that they are completely out of the playoff race this year and selling a few pieces to give them the best possible draft pick in the 2023 Draft. 600.Derek Lalonde, Detroit Red Wings Head Coach (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images) They are the only wild card team, in either conference, with a points percentage above. 1 wild card team in the Eastern Conference. As this story is being written on Sunday afternoon, the Red Wings (9-5-3), according to the NHL.com, are the No. Detroit Red Wings fans would certainly like that fact if their team could hold one of those spots on Thursday. But most gamblers would like that probability. Last season’s results fit that model: 12 of the 16 teams that were in an NHL playoff spot on Thanksgiving were still there at the end of the season. Those numbers exclude any season when a full schedule wasn’t played. In the salary cap era, 76% of teams in a playoff spot on the American holiday (based on percentage of available points earned) have gone to play in the postseason. Most of those beliefs are at least rooted in the sport’s history, even the one about Thanksgiving, provided you accept that a 75% probability is a likely occurrence.
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